Developing a Foundational Framework for Emission Policy Design to Mitigate CO2 Emission in Iran Case Study: An Empirical Approach to Guide Decision-Makers in Iran Using Simplified DICE Models(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)
حوزههای تخصصی:
Climate change is a global issue, driven largely by greenhouse gas emission, with carbon dioxide (CO2) being the biggest contributor. Iran, one of the top 10 emitters globally, faces unique challenges in reducing its CO2 emission due to economic sanctions, data gaps, and limited experience with climate policy. To help guide decision-makers, this study uses the Simplified DICE model—DICE model is a widely accepted tool for analyzing climate and economic interactions—to evaluate different strategies for emission reduction. These strategies mainly include carbon pricing, investment in renewables as mitigation of emission growth, and improving energy efficiency. The results show that such policies can positively impact GDP, temperature stabilization, and emission levels. This research provides the first numerical framework tailored to Iran’s specific context, offering practical insights for policymakers. Key policy implications include the necessity to overcome sanctions in aspects of Investment and technology absorption, improved data collection to refine future analyses, and adopting cost-effective measures that balance economic growth with environmental sustainability.