Journal of Money and Economy

Journal of Money and Economy

Journal of Money and Economy, Vol. 19, No. 1, Winter 2024 (مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

مقالات

۱.

The Impact of Intellectual Capital and Good Corporate Governance on Bank Value with the Mediating Effect of Financial Performance: Evidence from Iran(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Intellectual Capital Good corporate governance Financial performance Bank Value Tehran Stock Exchange

حوزه‌های تخصصی:
تعداد بازدید : ۸۴ تعداد دانلود : ۸۴
The value of a company is important to shareholders, investors, managers, creditors, and other stakeholders in their assessment of the company's future, its impact on the estimation of investment risk and returns, and stock prices. Therefore, examining the factors affecting a company's value is crucial. Intellectual capital, as a determinant in creating competitive advantage and value, plays a special role and is considered as an intangible asset of companies. Theoretical background and empirical evidence suggest that intellectual capital has a direct impact on a company's value and performance. Moreover, the need for corporate governance arises from the potential conflict of interest between individuals within the company's structure, which can affect its value. As banks’ shares play an important role in the Tehran Stock Exchange, we examine the impact of intellectual capital and good corporate governance on bank value, with the mediating effect of financial performance. The statistical population of this study includes 17 banks listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange over the period from 2017 to 2021. The results indicated that intellectual capital has a significant effect, while corporate governance does not have a significant effect on bank value. Additionally, the mediating effect of financial performance on the relationship between intellectual capital and bank value is accepted based on the Baron and Kenny method for mediation. The findings also show that the mediating effect of financial performance on the relationship between good corporate governance and bank value is confirmed according to the Zhao et al. procedure. Moreover, the results indicated that adding another independent variable relatively increases the explanatory power of the model.
۲.

Analyzing the asymmetric effect of oil price shocks on energy-intensive industries in Emerging and Developed Economics(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: oil price Industrial sector Nonlinear ARDL model Asymmetry

حوزه‌های تخصصی:
تعداد بازدید : ۶۰ تعداد دانلود : ۶۳
The rapid growth of Emerging Economics in previous decades have made them an important player in the international arena, along with Developed Economics, which have a significant impact on international economic transactions. This study investigate the way oil price fluctuations affect energy-intensive sectors in Emerging and Developed Economics using quarterly data from 2005 Q1 to 2024 Q2. Particularly, in this study NARDL framework is employed to examine the asymmetric impact of changes in oil prices by decomposing oil price shocks into positive and negative partial sums. The results show significant and asymmetric effect of oil price shocks on energy-intensive industrial sectors. The results show that the effect of negative changes in oil prices on both economics is similar, while Developed Economics react differently to positive changes in oil prices compared to Emerging Economics. overall, energy-intensive industries in Developed Economics show better management and are less vulnerable to oil price fluctuations in comparison with Emerging Economics.
۳.

The effect of real interest rate on the convergence speed of the economic performance of Iran's provinces(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Economic Convergence Real Interest Rate Human capital Information and Communication Technology Spatial Econometrics

حوزه‌های تخصصی:
تعداد بازدید : ۶۱ تعداد دانلود : ۶۶
The real interest rate is a key and important economic variable in policymaking, economic stability, and economic growth. Current advanced economies are heavily influenced by interest rates and react quickly to changes in them. In fact, interest rates act as a powerful control tool in managing and directing the market. In this regard, the main goal of this study is to investigate the convergence of the economic performance of the provinces and to investigate the effect of the real interest rate on the convergence speed of the economic performance of Iran's provinces.The results obtained from estimating models using spatial econometrics in the period of 2011 – 2022 showed that the real interest rate has a significant negative impact on economic performance convergence among provinces. Annually, 3.86% of the economic gap between provinces is reduced in the case of absolute convergence, and 4.55% and 4.175% in the case of conditional convergence, moving toward a stable state. Other results revealed that the individuals using the internet in provinces as an indicator of information and Communication Technology (ICT), and the real capital stock in provinces have a positive and significant effect on economic performance convergence. However, the number of university graduates per capita in provinces, as a measure of human capital, does not have a significant impact on the convergence of economic performance across provinces. This contrasts with the expectation that human capital would have a significant effect on the convergence of economic performance across provinces.
۴.

Economic Uncertainty, Public Health Policies Uncertainty and Health Insurance Coverage in Developing Countries(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Economic Uncertainty Public Health Policies Health Insurance

حوزه‌های تخصصی:
تعداد بازدید : ۴۹ تعداد دانلود : ۵۵
The provision of health insurance is a significant concern for governments in both developed and developing countries, given its pivotal role in ensuring access to healthcare for their citizens. The objective of this research is to investigate the impact of economic and health policies uncertainty on the rate of change in health insurance coverage in developing countries. The research sample comprises 30 selected developing countries from 2000 to 2023. The research model was tested using the dynamic panel estimation method through the Generalized Method of Moments and Arellano-Bond estimators, which were conducted using the Eviews software. The results show that in the presence of economic uncertainty and public health policies uncertainty, the speed of change in health insurance coverage in developing countries has decreased. Additionally, the vector coefficients of specific country characteristics are significant in the model, with positive effects observed for variables related to human development and income, and negative effects observed for variables related to population dependency and inflation. An understanding of the interaction between uncertainty and health insurance coverage can provide valuable insights into the ways in which political and economic challenges can be addressed and health insurance systems in developing countries optimised.
۵.

Ranking of Factors Affecting Currency Crises and Their Implications for the Iranian Economy(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Currency Crisis Bayesian Averaging Factor Ranking Uncertainty Index

حوزه‌های تخصصی:
تعداد بازدید : ۵۵ تعداد دانلود : ۵۹
This research aims to rank the non-breakable factors influencing currency crises in Iran. It analyzes the influential variables using Bayesian averaging methods and seasonal data from 2001 to 2021. Unlike classical methods, Bayesian analysis incorporates uncertainty and prior information in model and parameter selection, providing a more accurate assessment of the significance and impact of each variable on currency crises. By integrating uncertainty into the model, Bayesian techniques enhance the precision of determining key influential variables. The findings indicate that among all the identified influencing variables, nine key variables play a significant role in exchange rate fluctuations. These variables include the export-to-output ratio, exchange rate gap from equilibrium rate, inflation, and the uncertainty index, which are crucial in determining exchange rate movements. Additionally, imbalanced liquidity growth and rising inflation exacerbate pressure on the exchange rate, increasing the likelihood of currency crises. Excessive liquidity expansion, coupled with inflationary pressures, leads to financial instability. This research not only identifies the primary determinants of currency crises but also underscores the necessity for economic policy reforms. The results from the Bayesian model show that variables consistently maintaining their impact despite other factors are recognized as "non-breakable." These non-breakable factors should be prioritized in economic policymaking to ensure financial stability. By considering these critical variables in policy decisions, economic authorities can adopt more effective strategies to prevent currency crises and mitigate adverse economic effects.
۶.

Assessment of determinants influencing the escalation of the overall price level in Iran(مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)

کلیدواژه‌ها: Exchange Rate Fiscal policy generalized method of moments (GMM) Monetary policy

حوزه‌های تخصصی:
تعداد بازدید : ۴۸ تعداد دانلود : ۴۲
Inflation as an undesirable economic phenomenon in recent years has had devastating effects on Iran economy. This made economic researchers devote plenty of reports and researches to the causes or ways to cope with inflation in Iran. In the present study, considering the importance of inflation, it was tried to take advantage of the econometric model to examine the effect of in Iran economy by using annual information from 1974 to 2021 and by using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). The results of the GMM model showed that the variables of labor wage index, liquidity volume, time-lag inflation and unofficial exchange rate growth have a positive and significant effect on inflation in Iran. Also, the GDP growth variable has a negative and significant effect on the dependent variable. The study suggests that in order to control inflation, the government in Iran should consider issues such as stability in economic policy-making, adopting appropriate fiscal policies, especially through budgetary discipline, and consistency of monetary and fiscal policies to curb inflation, to be important.

آرشیو

آرشیو شماره‌ها:
۴۲