نقش فناوری هوش مصنوعی در دگرگونی ماهیت جنگ ؛ براساس مطالعه اسناد راهبردی رژیم صهیونیستی (مقاله علمی وزارت علوم)
درجه علمی: نشریه علمی (وزارت علوم)
آرشیو
چکیده
درسال های اخیر، هوش مصنوعی تغییرات چشمگیری در حوزه های مختلف زندگی بشر ایجاد کرده و احساسات متفاوتی نسبت به آینده آن در دولت ها و جوامع به وجود آورده است. از مهم ترین حوزه های حیاتی که تحت تأثیر این تحولات قرار گرفته، مسئله جنگ و امنیت است. ظهور فناوری هوش مصنوعی نه تنها مزایای قابل توجهی برای دولت ها به همراه داشته، بلکه نگرانی هایی جدی درباره تهدیدات امنیتی نیز ایجاد کرده است. ازاین رو، شناخت دقیق ابعاد و پیامدهای هوش مصنوعی در این زمینه برای مدیریت و پیش بینی شرایط آینده ضروری است. براین اساس، سوال اصلی که دغدغه انجام این پژوهش بوده عبارت است از اینکه از نگاه اسناد رژیم صهیونیستی، هوش مصنوعی چه تأثیری در ماهیت جنگ دارد؟ برای پاسخ به این سوال با یاری اندیشه های کارل فون کلاوزویتس[1] که معتقد بود ماهیت جنگ همچون مثلثی دارای سه ضلع است که اضلاع آن عبارت است از خشونت، شانس و احتمال و سیاسی بودن، محتوای اسناد این رژیم را بررسی و تحلیل کرده و با استفاده از نرم افزار مکس کیودی ای کدگذاری کرده و پس از آن، تحلیل محتوای کیفی انجام شده است. نتایج پژوهش حاکی از آن است که از نگاه اسناد راهبردی رژیم صهیونیستی، سه شاخص ماهیت جنگ کلاوزویتس تحت تأثیر هوش مصنوعی دچار تغییرات مثبت و منفی می شود. این تغییرات نشان دهنده آن است که هوش مصنوعی می تواند تمامی ابعاد جنگ را تحت تأثیر قرار دهد و ماهیت آن را در چهارچوب جدیدی که تکنولوژی های پیشرفته تعریف می کنند، بازتعریف کند.The role of artificial intelligence technology in transforming the nature of war; Based on the study of strategic documents of the Zionist regime
The use of artificial intelligence in the military industry by the Zionist regime has played a very prominent role in increasing its defense and military capabilities. This technology, by reducing the dependence on human power and increasing the accuracy and speed of reactions, helps them to carry out accurate and destructive attacks with the least physical presence in the field and reduce the risk of life for their forces.
These innovations, in the context of the strategic vision of the Zionist regime, show that this regime is not only aware of the military opportunities resulting from the development of artificial intelligence but also seeks to identify possible future threats and deal with them. In this research, by referring to the documents published by the Zionist regime, its view on the indicators of the nature of the future of the war will be counted from side to side of the declaration texts. For this purpose, the relevant documents were examined by the method of qualitative content analysis, and the research was compiled.
Methodology
The research method is based on the type of analytical-explanatory research, the type of applied goal, and the type of qualitative data. In this research, to review and analyze the data, the method of qualitative content analysis has been used. Qualitative content analysis, by focusing on understanding the meaning and structure of textual content, helps researchers to identify and analyze the patterns, themes, and concepts hidden in the data.
In this process, first, the data were collected and entered into the MaxQD software in appropriate formats. Then, the relevant parts of the text were coded to identify key topics and concepts. These codes are organized hierarchically to show the structure and relationships between the data more clearly. In the next step, recurring patterns and themes were identified and relationships between codes were analyzed. Finally, the data interpretation was done to extract the results of the analysis and the findings were presented in a way that is in line with the main objectives of the research.
Findings
To analyze the effects of artificial intelligence on the future of wars, Carl von Clausewitz's theories about the nature of war were used. Based on these theories, the key indicators of the nature of war including violence, chance and probability, and the political nature of war were selected as the main criteria as follows.
1- The political dimension of war
From the point of view of the strategic documents of the Zionist regime, artificial intelligence can increase the political nature of war in the sense that war is the continuation of politics with other means. Israel's AI strategy is focused on strengthening long-term leadership in this field, applying AI for social and economic gains, and aligning with international approaches. The strategy also emphasizes the widespread use of artificial intelligence in the government and defense sectors and strong financial support for the development of this technology, indicating a desire to exploit artificial intelligence as a powerful tool in the realization of political goals. In addition, the codes that refer to multilateral cooperation, regulation consistent with international frameworks, and the use of artificial intelligence in decision-making and policy-making processes, show that the Zionist regime seeks to increase its political efficiency and flexibility through artificial intelligence.
2- The dimension of luck and the possibility of war
Based on the presented codes, it seems that from the point of view of the national documents of the Zionist regime, artificial intelligence can simultaneously increase and decrease the chance and probability of war; It depends on the type of use, transparency in decision-making and the regulatory environment. While AI can reduce human error by reducing human biases and improving decision-making accuracy, lack of transparency, vulnerability to technical failures, and lack of proper oversight can increase the chance of unexpected and unwanted events in war.
3- The dimension of war violence
From the point of view of the national documents of the Zionist regime, artificial intelligence can significantly affect the violence of war. These impacts can include increased risks and violence due to a lack of transparency, technical vulnerabilities, and arms race.
Conclusion
The Zionist regime, by focusing on the development of artificial intelligence, seeks to strengthen its strategic and military position. In the analysis of the effect of artificial intelligence on war violence, it can be seen that the Zionist regime has developed and exploited artificial intelligence technologies to increase war violence and improve accuracy in military operations. Artificial intelligence can help reduce the randomness and unpredictability of violence by providing advanced tools to analyze data and predict war scenarios. However, there are also challenges such as the possibility of algorithmic discrimination, security vulnerabilities, and the need for effective human supervision, which can lead to the occurrence of unwanted violence or increase its level. Regarding the index of chance and probability, artificial intelligence has two effects. On the one hand, this technology can reduce the probability of wars and facilitate crisis management by improving analysis and forecasting capabilities. On the other hand, the advanced capabilities of artificial intelligence and military capabilities may lead to new and more complex conflicts. Therefore, the impact of artificial intelligence on the chances and probability of wars depends on how it is used and the controls applied to this technology.
In the context of the politicization of war, artificial intelligence significantly affects military policies and strategies. By exploiting the capabilities of artificial intelligence, the Zionist regime seeks to strengthen its decision-making power and improve strategic analysis. Artificial intelligence, as a tool for predicting and analyzing political and military complexities, can lead to strengthening the military power and political influence of the Zionist regime.
Of course, investigating the effects of artificial intelligence on other aspects of warfare, including international interactions and changes in military strategies and policies, are important issues that require more attention and research.
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